Conf = Big East
Nickname = PA Wildcats Coach = Mike CorraGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.2299347 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Penn State B1G (11- 5, 96.5) 10-18 217 A Yale Ivy (11- 4, 95.2) 11-13 224 H Colgate Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.0) 15- 9 302 A Lehigh Patriot (10- 7, 91.9) 14- 8 305 A Drexel CAA ( 6- 9, 89.2) 13-12 309 H Penn Ivy ( 9- 6, 93.8) 8-11 316 H Monmouth CAA ( 5- 8, 88.6) 12-11 319 A Navy Patriot ( 9- 7, 91.6) 15- 7 325 A Brown Ivy ( 3-11, 90.3) 9- 5 330 H Denver Big East (13- 4, 95.7) 6- 9 406 H Providence Big East ( 7- 8, 91.5) 12-15 413 A St Johns (NY) Big East ( 4-11, 87.2) 14- 9 420 A Marquette Big East ( 4-10, 89.1) 12- 6 426 H Georgetown Big East (13- 4, 95.8) 4-12 502 H Denver Big East (13- 4, 95.7) 10- 9 504 H Georgetown Big East (13- 4, 95.8) 10-11
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A Penn State 10-18 -8 -3 - -3.05 217 A Yale 11-13 -2 -2 0.70 224 H Colgate 15- 9 6 0 ++ 5.04 302 A Lehigh 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.33 305 A Drexel 13-12 1 3 - -2.36 309 H Penn 8-11 -3 0 - -3.12 316 H Monmouth 12-11 1 5 -- -4.32 319 A Navy 15- 7 8 0 +++ 6.03 325 A Brown 9- 5 4 2 1.73 330 H Denver 6- 9 -3 -1 -1.24 406 H Providence 12-15 -3 2 -- -5.43 413 A St Johns (NY) 14- 9 5 5 -0.32 420 A Marquette 12- 6 6 3 + 2.52 426 H Georgetown 4-12 -8 -1 -- -5.13 502 H Denver 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.76 504 H Georgetown 10-11 -1 -1 0.87UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 H Monmouth 12-11 1 5 -- -4.32 406 H Providence 12-15 -3 2 -- -5.43 426 H Georgetown 4-12 -8 -1 -- -5.13 210 A Penn State 10-18 -8 -3 - -3.05 305 A Drexel 13-12 1 3 - -2.36 309 H Penn 8-11 -3 0 - -3.12OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A Navy 15- 7 8 0 +++ 6.03 224 H Colgate 15- 9 6 0 ++ 5.04 302 A Lehigh 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.33 420 A Marquette 12- 6 6 3 + 2.52 502 H Denver 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.76
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 93.24 Power Rank................. 20 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 82.56 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 20 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6444 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 15 RPI Rating............... .5560 RPI Rank................... 19 Champ. Probability ...... 2.0 Championship Rank ......... 15 Selection sum ........... 58 Selection Rank ............ 18 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -35. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 25 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -35. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 24 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7